kojax wrote:In physics, probability analysis is often the only way to determine causality. In QM, causality only even exists on the probability level. If you blindfold yourself and throw three darts at a dart board and they all hit the same spot, that's not unlike shooting three photons out of a photon gun and noting that all three struck the same detector.
If you're shooting hundreds and hundreds out a day, then having three hit the same detector out of that set is not exceptional. But, if those are the only three you ever shot three in the whole history of the world, and they all hit the same detector, that might be noteworthy. Of course you can't be sure of anything until you repeat the experiment a lot of times to be sure it wasn't a fluke. That's why you assign a "confidence level" to your findings. In this case, ofr course, it's impossible to repeat the experiment, something the official story and conspiracy theory both exploit to their advantages. It's evidence that I would also ignore if nothing else were fishy.
Statistics is subject to the "Texas Sharpshooter" fallacy (a mistake common to conspiracy theories as well), where a guy fires a hundred shots at the broadside of a barn, circles the closest grouping of 3 shots, and declares them to be the only three he intentionally aimed ... but in this case they really are honestly the only three.
That's all well and good, but statistically speaking, the buildings most probably came down as a result of planes crashing into them, and not due to some overcomplicated, deeply complex, psychologically tortured hyper-conspiracy involving thousands of people.